crlhub wrote:JNB would be a big success as South Africa has the second Belgian expats community with YUL.There is a good demand for business class as the flight is quiet long.And potential connections with Congo and other afi countries.Angola is booming, a lot of Portuguese citizens emmigrate back down there as the unemployment in Portugal is now above 20%.
I suggested this some years ago as well, but was immediately confronted with the figures from the past , which were just ...negative.
There are several reasons.
South-Africa depends for a certain amount on tourism. Which has 2 seasons. High season is during European winter time. When most people work and have no time to go on long holidays. But, being said, high season is really high in SA. Prices of hotels quadrupple. And flights are expensive. But what will you do with your infrastructure during low season?
It is indeed a long flight, which needs long haulers. The amount of long distance airplanes in the fleet of SNBA is pretty small. You need to perform enough flights a week to cover tourism as business passengers as well.
SA has also another speciality: Cape Town. An airline would depend on tourism for a reasonal amount. But most tourists visit Cape Town as well. So you would have to fly to Cape Town , or work with a local partner. Many airlines do this , but it is not ideal.
A triangular flight could be a solution.
And so we come to a comparable ex Sabena/Sobelair destination: Bangkok and Phuket. A bit business. Family visits . And tourism depending on unequally spreaded high & low season. Trying to make it work by triangular flights as well.
It all sounds a bit
déjà vu.
Competition:
JNB has a lot of competition.
And we see now that some of the same competitors on the Bangkok stretch do also compete to JNB : Qatar, Emirates, Etihad, Egypt Air...except of Emirates, they all do Brussels as well.
Traditional carrier: BA.
there goes your business class market: BA offers World travellers Plus ( upgraded economy for +- 350 € extra ) to these destinations on a daily base.
Only positive point: it would be the only non-stop connection between Belgium and South-Africa.
Almost forgot this one: airplanes flying to JNB have to keep in mind the height of the airport: 1753 meters. Important for MTO and precious cargo.
Conclusion: SNBA would need at least 2 extra long haulers, able to perfom at least 3 flights a week to JNB / CPT , airplanes that can store enough passengers with their luggage to have enough capacity for the winter season + have cargo capability.
And we look at this at the moment that it doesn't go well with SNBA. Remember the title of this topic?
No personal critic: I made te same remark some years ago.